Arabica coffee hit a two-month low amid Brazil’s wet weather

Arabica coffee faced this week in the red territory, hitting a two-month low, as Brazil’s crops were blessed with beneficial rains.

On Monday, the December futures plummeted by 1.20% to $2.09950 per pound, touching their lowest level since early August at $2.08500. Likewise, it declined by 2.71% to $215.55 per metric ton.

The commodity was under pressure amid reports of abundant rain in Brazil, which is expected to promote flowering for the next year’s crop.

Somar Meteorologia said that the state of Minas Gerais had 51 millimeters of rain last week, equivalent to 185.00% of the historical average. The region accounts for roughly 30.00% of the nation’s arabica supply.

Furthermore, the country’s largest coffee producer, Cooxupe Cooperative, announced that 99.40% of its harvest was completed as of September 16.

Consequently, the Green Coffee Association stated that the United States’ green coffee stockpiles grew by 3.60% month-over-month and 5.20% on an annual basis to a two-year high of 6.45 million bags.

Moreover, Vietnam’s General Department of Customs reported late last week that the nation’s coffee exports in the nine months through September rose by 13.70% year-over-year to 1.35 million metric tons.

Coffee Technical Analysis

On the technical side, the commodity traded through an intraday low of $214.80 and an intraday high of $222.55 on October 03.

It also traversed through the Fibonacci Retracement swing low of $214.06, $2146.68, and $215.07 as well as the swing high of $217.32, $216.70, and $216.31, with a pivot point of $215.69.

Besides, the coffee futures’ current price is trading below the 200-day simple moving average of $222.72 and the 200-day exponential moving average of $222.83, respectively, suggesting a strong sell action.

Consequently, its Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading plummeted below the 30 levels and is now sitting at 26.26, translating to a bearish movement.