On November 26, the price of Bitcoin sharply declined by 16% to $16,334, while in the previous session, its peak at $19,484. According to data, cascading liquidations were the driving force on the massive correction.
Significantly, before the pullback, the open interest of the dominant cryptocurrency futures market reached a new record high.
Moreover, the derivatives market was overheated with buyers, causing the market to sway to one side.
A combination of two factors caused a rapid decline in Bitcoin price with a spike in futures trading volume.
Similar to the March 12 crash, over a billion-dollar worth of futures contracts were liquidated. According to Skew, the Chicago Merchantile Exchange witnessed $1.8 billion in volume, which is its record.
Significantly, inflows into exchanges spiked as the dominant cryptocurrency’s price started to decline.
According to the CEO of CryptoQuant, Ki-Young Ju, the All Exchanges Inflow Mean indicator showed the selling pressuring coming from whales.
First, the sell-off from whales caused the Bitcoin to fall to near $18,000. However, as there were likely many overleveraged long contracts, it led to a huge long squeeze.
During the several hours, the world’s largest cryptocurrency dropped to $16,334, posting a crash like in March. Data reveals that approximately 1.9 billion worth of futures contracts were liquidated on the day.
Additionally, Glassnode announced that an on-chain market analysis firm, Binance Futures witnessed the largest spikes in liquidations of $425 million during two hours.
Bitcoin near-term scenario
Significantly, there are three potential scenarios for BTC in the near term:
- Bitcoin could rebound relatively quickly to $18,000.
- Bitcoin could resume falling to the next major support area at $13,700.
- Bitcoin could range, allowing the derivatives market to stabilize.
Glassnode found that the number of Bitcoin whales has reached an all-time high, which suggests that there is still sizeable potential selling pressure that could come from high-net-worth investors. They announced that Bitcoin whales had hit a new all-time high after over four years.